The NFL’s version of the Final Four is here and these games are absolutely stacked. Let’s take a look at some ats betting trends. This season’s conference finals also present a serious challenge for bettors as clear cases can be made for any of the four teams to cover the spread or win straight-up. Nailing down a totals pick isn’t exactly a walk in the park either considering weather could be a factor in each matchup.
One thing that is pretty clear-cut, however, is that home teams have dominated this round since 2014, going 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS.
More ats betting trends. Another standout trend that favors the home team could have an impact on the Bucs who are playing their third consecutive playoff road game. Since 1986, there have been 15 instances of an NFL team playing three straight road playoff games. The previous teams went just 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS. Over the last eight instances, they’re 1-7 SU and ATS.
ats betting trends: The home team is 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS in the last 14 conference finals games.
The lack of success for visitors in this round shouldn’t come as much of a shock. Playing on the road in January can’t be easy, and the home team in most of these games will always be better on paper as evidenced by their higher seed.
Conference Championship Stats and Trends:
ATS Betting Trends
- Since 1986, there’s been 15 instances of an NFL team playing 3 straight road playoff games – the situation Tampa is in on Sunday. The previous teams went just 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS. Over the last 8 instances, they’re 1-7 SU and ATS.
- Green Bay ranks first in time of possession. Tampa Bay is 21st.
- These teams rank 1st and 2nd in points per play.
- Green Bay ranks first in third down conversion %. Tampa Bay is 18th in opponent third down conversion %.
- Green Bay leads the NFL in points per game and average scoring margin at home. Tampa Bay leads the NFL in points per game and average scoring margin on the road.
- The Bucs rank 25th in opponent completion %. Aaron Rodgers led the NFL in completion % during the regular season.
- The Bucs are first in yards allowed per rush attempt. Green Bay is 22nd.
- Road teams are 2-12 SU and 4-10 ATS in Conference Championship games since 2014
- The previous teams went just 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS. Over the last 8 instances, they’re 1-7 SU and ATS.
- The Buccaneers are 7-0 SU in their last seven games on the road. (Avg winning margin: 16.0)
- The total has gone OVER in 25 of the Buccaneers’ last 35 games on the road. (Avg combined score: 55.94)
- The Packers are 7-0 SU in their last seven games. (Avg winning margin: 14.86)
- The Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in January.
- The Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games in the playoffs.
- The Packers are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games at home vs teams with winning records.
- The Packers are 5-0 SU in their last five games in the playoffs as home favorites.
- The total has gone OVER in the Packers’ last six games in the playoffs.
ATS Betting Trends
- These teams rank second and third in third-down conversion % and second and fifth in yards per play.
- Kansas City ranks last in the NFL in opponent red zone TD conversion %.
- Buffalo ranks 25th in yards allowed per rush attempt. KC rushed for 245 yards in their regular-season matchup.
- The Bills are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
- Road teams are 2-12 SU and 4-10 ATS in Conference Championship games since 2014
- The Bills are 8-0 SU in their last eight games. (Avg winning margin: 17.0)
- The total has gone OVER in six of the Bills’ last eight games on the road. (Avg combined score: 54.0)
- The Bills are 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games on the road in January.
- The Chiefs are 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
- The Chiefs are 24-2 SU in their last 26 games.
- The Chiefs are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games at home vs teams with winning records.
- The Chiefs are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games in the playoffs.
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Bills’ last 13 games on the road vs the Chiefs.
- The favored team is 16-4 SU and 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games in this matchup.
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