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Archived: College Basketball ATS TRENDS


Dec 18, 2019 EST


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Best OVER Teams in College Hoops

Leading the charge for the highest OVER percentage in college hoops so far this season is the Long Island Sharks at 8-1-1 with an average combined score of 159.7. Unfortunately for LIU, it isn’t the team leading the dance in these high-scoring affairs as the Sharks are just 3-7 and rank 338th out of 353 teams in points allowed per game at 82.9.

Down the list a little bit is Houston Baptist, which has gone OVER in seven of its eight games with a whopping average combined score of 177.4. The Huskies are in last place in Division I in points allowed per game at 101.1, five more than second-worst Mississippi Valley State at 96.8.

Top 10 OVER Teams
Team Record Avg. Combined Score
Long Island Sharks 8-1-1 159.7
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks 7-1 161.4
Houston Baptist Huskies 7-1 177.4
UNC Asheville Bulldogs 6-1-1 161.3
San Francisco Dons 8-2-1 152.2
Delaware State Hornets 8-2 158.9
Vanderbilt Commodores 7-2 149.4
Oregon Ducks 7-2-1 145.4
Howard Bison 7-2-1 152.9
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 7-2 146.6

Best UNDER Teams in College Hoops

On the opposite side of the spectrum for points scored per game is a five-way tie among teams hitting at 90 percent on the UNDER. CS Fullerton, Drake, Missouri, North Carolina and Oakland are tied, with CS Fullerton technically leading the charge at 1-9-1 with the extra PUSH. The Titans score 59.2 ppg, which ranks 328th in college hoops. A notable team not in the table that has been a great UNDER bet is Virginia. At 7-2 for the UNDER, the Cavaliers are scoring the third-fewest ppg at 53.6 while allowing the fewest points at 44.2.

Top 10 UNDER Teams
Team Record Avg. Combined Score
CS Fullerton Titans 1-9-1 127.5
Drake Bulldogs 1-0 128.9
Missouri Tigers 1-9 124.1
North Carolina Tar Heels 1-9 134.5
Oakland Golden Grizzlies 1-9 123.9
Charleston Southern Buccaneers 1-8 130.9
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 1-7 121
Montana Grizzlies 1-6 131.9
Albany Great Danes 2-10 133.3
Sacramento State Hornets 1-5 119.2

Best ATS Records in College Hoops

Only one team in college basketball has a perfect spread record right now and that’s the Sacramento State Hornets at 6-0. The team is 6-2 SU but had games against Simpson and UC Merced for which there were no lines. The Hornets have been favored and underdogs, covering in all, thanks to their third-ranked defense that’s giving up just 51.6 ppg.

Top 10 ATS Teams
Team Record
Sacramento State Hornets 6-0
Northern Iowa Panthers 8-1
La Salle Explorers 8-1
St. Francis PA Red Flashes 7-1-1
Eastern Washington Eagles 7-1
Lafayette Leopards 6-1-1
UTEP Miners 5-1
Yale Bulldogs 9-2
Stanford Cardinal 9-2
Ohio State Buckeyes 9-2

Worst ATS Records in College Hoops

The worst spread bet, or best team to fade, is the Howard Bison at 1-9 ATS and they can also be found at the bottom of SU records at 1-10. Howard’s average losing margin is 22.5 and its strength of schedule ranks 280th. The Bison allow the fourth-most ppg and score the 54th-fewest – a recipe for disaster.

Bottom 10 ATS Teams
Team Record
Howard Bison 1-9
CS Bakersfield Roadrunners 1-8
Texas A&M Aggies 1-8
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 1-7
UTPA Broncs 1-7
Houston Baptist Huskies 1-6-1
Iona Gaels 1-5
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 2-9
New Mexico State Aggies 2-9
Cincinnati Bearcats 2-8

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