NBA SEASON WIN TOTALS MARKET REPORT
Over under win totals for each NBA team are shown below.
Pairing Dejounte Murray with Trae Young in a star-studded backcourt could help the Hawks shore up their defense. They took a major step backward with a 43-39 record last season and are only projected for a few more wins after making a major move.
The Celtics are still pegged for over 50 wins despite the fact that an untested head coach in Joe Mazzulla is now at the helm. Boston will also have to deal with Robert Williams being sidelined early in the season.
Despite all the distractions from Kyrie Irving and James Harden and injuries to Kevin Durant, the Nets won 44 games last season. They may have Durant, Irving, and Ben Simmons active all year, giving them a great shot to win 50-plus games if they stay focused.
The Hornets had the same projected win total last season and went comfortably over with a 43-39 record. They haven’t made many changes this offseason, while the rest of the East seemed to get stronger.
Lonzo Ball (knee) might not be ready for the start of the season, and the Bulls were basically a .500 team (24-23) without their point guard last year. They went 22-13 with Ball active but went 23-26 after the calendar turned to 2022 with Ball and Alex Caruso (wrist) hurt.
Arguably the most surprising team in the NBA last season, the Cavs aren’t sneaking up on anybody now with Donovan Mitchell added to a talented young roster. Their projection was only 28.5 wins last year, and they finished 44-38.
Luka Doncic (+450) is the MVP favorite once again, as he enters another season with a veritable co-star now that Jalen Brunson is gone. The Mavs won 29 of their 52 games at home last season.
Jamal Murray (ACL) should be ready for his first game action in 18 months when the Nuggets open on Oct. 19. With key role players like Bruce Brown and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ready to assist two-time reigning MVP Nikola Jokic, some books are projecting Denver for 51.5 wins.
Cade Cunningham started to catch fire in the second half of the season, and now he’ll be working with sharpshooter Bojan Bogdanovic after the Pistons swung a deal for the former Jazz forward.
Golden State Warriors:
The defending champs came roaring out of the gates with a 27-7 record last season and wound up winning 53 games. Some books have their projection close to that same total, as Donte DiVincenzo and second-year wings Moses Moody and Jonathan Kuminga will fill the void following the departures of Gary Payton II and Otto Porter.
The Rockets are expected to be one of the worst teams in the NBA again after they dealt Christian Wood to Dallas for the 26th overall pick last June.
While they were more exciting after swinging a deal for Tyrese Haliburton and Buddy Hield, the Pacers went 6-20 following the trade and won 25 games while finishing with one of the highest defensive ratings in basketball.
Los Angeles Clippers:
Kawhi Leonard (ACL) will likely ease his way back into the lineup, but the Clippers have incredible depth on the wing with Norman Powell, and Robert Covington added to the fold. They’re among the championship favorites and have a lofty projected win total.
Los Angeles Lakers:
The Lakers came into last season as title favorites with a projection of 52.5 wins and floundered their way to a 33-49 record while missing the playoffs. They can bounce back if LeBron James and Anthony Davis stay healthy this year.
The Grizzlies rolled to the second-best record (56-26) in the West last season despite missing Ja Morant for 25 games and Dillon Brooks for 50 games. They lost some of their unparalleled depth, and Jaren Jackson Jr. (foot) should miss the first month or two.
After earning the top seed in the East with a 53-29 record last season, the Heat didn’t make any major moves this offseason. Tyler Herro could serve as a midseason trade chip if Pat Riley sees an opening to land another star.
The Bucks came out of the gates slowly but still went 24-13 before New Years and finished with 51 wins. They have a 69.8% winning percentage (88-38) when Jrue Holiday plays.
Expectations are high for the Wolves after they mortgaged their future to pair Rudy Gobert with Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards. They should improve on last year’s poor road record (20-21) with Gobert there to anchor the defense.
New Orleans Pelicans:
The Pelicans went 13-13 after acquiring C.J. McCollum last season and managed to make the play-in tournament with a 36-46 record. Zion Williamson is reportedly in great shape and ready to try to bring New Orleans over the .500 mark.
New York Knicks:
The Knicks gave Jalen Brunson a handsome four-year deal and extended R.J. Barrett but missed out on a potential trade for Donovan Mitchell. Their preseason projection is similar to last year’s when they wound up finishing 37-45.
Oklahoma City Thunder:
The Thunder might continue fielding an uncompetitive team in order to get higher draft picks going forward. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (MCL) will likely miss a good chunk of time early in the season.
No. 1 overall pick Paolo Banchero will get all the touches he can handle on this rebuilding team. Wendell Carter Jr. and Mo Wagner are also promising big men to pair with young PG Cole Anthony.
The Sixers overcame the Ben Simmons distraction to win 51 games last season, and they could be much better this year if James Harden enters the season in good shape. They added P.J. Tucker and De’Anthony Melton and are a good value at +500 to post the best record in the East.
While other books are projecting the Suns to win 53.5 games after they’ve gone 102-33 in two years with Chris Paul, DraftKings is holding fast at a lower projection. There are reasons for concern after their rough Game 7 home loss to Dallas, the tense Deandre Ayton contract negotiations, and the Robert Sarver saga.
Portland Trail Blazers:
Damian Lillard (abdomen) only played 29 games last year, and the Blazers went 27-55. He’s expected to be healthy this year along with center Jusuf Nurkic and exciting young guard Anfernee Simons.
De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis will look to form more chemistry throughout a full season after they produced some exciting lines without earning many wins at the tail end of a lost season.
San Antonio Spurs:
The Spurs have the lowest projection in the NBA after trading Dejounte Murray, who led the team in points, assists, and steals last season.
Masai Ujiri and his staff continued to unearth new talent, and the Raptors hardly missed a beat without Kyle Lowry as they went 48-34 last season.
The Jazz won a league-high 52 games in the shortened 2020-21 season, then went 49-33 before getting bounced from the playoffs last year. They blew it up this offseason and will rebuild under first-year head coach Will Hardy.
Bradley Beal decided to stick it out with Washington, and he has a couple of talented forwards to work with in Kyle Kuzma and Kristaps Porzingis. The Wizards are expected to pretty much match their 35-win total from last season.
Here is a look at what NBA win totals looked like on September 28, just a few weeks before the start of the 2022 regular season.
|Team||Over Price||Under Price|
|Atlanta Hawks||Over 44.5 (-110)||Under 44.5 (-110)|
|Boston Celtics||Over 54.5 (-110)||Under 54.5 (-110)|
|Brooklyn Nets||Over 50.5 (-110)||Under 50.5 (-110)|
|Charlotte Hornets||Over 36.5 (-112)||Under 36.5 (-112)|
|Chicago Bulls||Over 43.5 (-112)||Under 43.5 (-112)|
|Cleveland Cavaliers||Over 46.5 (-110)||Under 46.5 (-110)|
|Dallas Mavericks||Over 48.5 (-110)||Under 48.5 (-110)|
|Denver Nuggets||Over 49.5 (-110)||Under 49.5 (-110)|
|Detroit Pistons||Over 28.5 (-110)||Under 28.5 (-110)|
|Golden State Warriors||Over 51.5 (-110)||Under 51.5 (-110)|
|Houston Rockets||Over 23.5 (-110)||Under 23.5 (-110)|
|Indiana Pacers||Over 24.5 (-110)||Under 24.5 (-110)|
|Los Angeles Clippers||Over 52.5 (-110)||Under 52.5 (-110)|
|Los Angeles Lakers||Over 45.5 (-110)||Under 45.5 (-110)|
|Memphis Grizzlies||Over 48.5 (-110)||Under 48.5 (-110)|
|Miami Heat||Over 48.5 (-110)||Under 48.5 (-110)|
|Milwaukee Bucks||Over 52.5 (-110)||Under 52.5 (-110)|
|Minnesota Timberwolves||Over 48.5 (-110)||Under 48.5 (-110)|
|New Orleans Pelicans||Over 44.5 (-110)||Under 44.5 (-110)|
|New York Knicks||Over 39.5 (-110)||Under 39.5 (-110)|
|Oklahoma City Thunder||Over 23.5 (-110)||Under 23.5 (-110)|
|Orlando Magic||Over 26.5 (-110)||Under 26.5 (-110)|
|Philadelphia 76ers||Over 50.5 (-110)||Under 50.5 (-110)|
|Phoenix Suns||Over 51.5 (-110)||Under 51.5 (-110)|
|Portland Trailblazers||Over 39.5 (-110)||Under 39.5 (-110)|
|Sacramento Kings||Over 33.5 (-110)||Under 33.5 (-110)|
|San Antonio Spurs||Over 22.5 (-110)||Under 22.5 (-110)|
|Toronto Raptors||Over 45.5 (-112)||Under 45.5 (-112)|
|Utah Jazz||Over 24.5 (-112)||Under 24.5 (-112)|
|Washington Wizards||Over 33.5 (-112)||Under 33.5 (-112)|