The best basketball betting sites have the Bucks’ OVER/UNDER line for regular-season wins at 51 and if they surpass that mark, it would be their third season in a row winning more than 50 games. The Los Angeles Lakers, the reigning NBA champions and the betting favorite for 2021, have the next-highest projected win total at 47.5.
The NBA team projected to be in the league basement is the Cleveland Cavaliers, with sportsbooks tabbing their O/U win total at 21.5. Cleveland, which finished last season with 19 wins in 65 games, edges out the New York Knicks (O/U 22.5) for the team with the lowest line.
The 2020-21 NBA regular season is a bit different than in years past. With an unconventional travel schedule, teams playing only 72 games, limited fans in attendance and the possibility that some NBA players may rest to start the year, these betting props could be a bit difficult for the casual bettor to handicap.
For now, here are the OVER/UNDER NBA win totals odds for all 30 NBA teams:
|Team||Win Total||Last Season Wins||OVER||UNDER|
|Golden State Warriors||38.5||15||-115||-115|
|Los Angeles Clippers||46.5||49||-130||EVEN|
|Los Angeles Lakers||47.5||52||-125||-105|
|New Orleans Pelicans||35.5||30||-120||-110|
|New York Knicks||22.5||21||-125||-105|
|Oklahoma City Thunder||23.5||44||+115||-150|
|Portland Trail Blazers||40.5||35||-160||+120|
|San Antonio Spurs||29.5||31||-135||+105|
Why The Bucks Have The Highest Win Total
An NBA regular-season darling, the Milwaukee Bucks should be at the top of the oddsboard for the highest win total for the simple fact that they have the most dominant superstar in Giannis Antetokounmpo.
The two-time NBA MVP has made a living the last two seasons feasting on lesser competition in the Eastern Conference and it helps that the Bucks get to play in the Central Division, which has three putrid teams in the Chicago Bulls, Detroit Pistons and Cleveland Cavaliers. None of those teams are currently projected to finish with more than 30 regular-season wins.
While Milwaukee wasn’t able to snare Bogdan Bogdanovic from the Sacramento Kings in a trade, the Bucks got a significant roster upgrade by shipping Eric Bledsoe out of town for Jrue Holiday from the Pelicans.
The combo guard is an immediate upgrade on the perimeter for defense and three-point shooting. The Bucks clearly made point guard a priority in the offseason by adding Holiday, Bryn Forbes and D.J. Augustin while getting more rugged on defense with Torrey Craig and Bobby Portis.
Barring an injury to Antetokounmpo, the Bucks have enough depth and talent to likely win 55 or more games, so their OVER 51 NBA win totals odds at +110 feels like free money.
NBA Teams Win Totals To Monitor
The two teams that bettors should be taking a hard look at in NBA win totals odds are the Phoenix Suns (O/U 39.5) and Minnesota Timberwolves (O/U 28.5), two teams that seem to be trending in opposite directions.
Phoenix Suns OVER 39.5 (-135)
No team overhauled its roster for the better as much as the Phoenix Suns, who finally feel like they have an adult in the room. The Suns traded for “point gawd” Chris Paul from the Thunder to pair with rising superstars Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton and have a ton of momentum after dominating the Orlando bubble.
The Suns started off hot in the 2019-20 season before falling apart in the latter stages, which is why they got edged out for the final playoff spot in the West even though they were undefeated in the bubble. With Paul, this team will not lose focus in the middle of the season as it did last year, and it has the type of talent to let CP3 just manage the game and not have to overdo it.
The sharpshooting Booker could finally make the all-star team and a big like Ayton should flourish with Paul running the show. Just ask Tyson Chandler, DeAndre Jordan and any center he’s played with.
With this win total at 39.5, you only need the Suns to win six more games than they did in 2019-20 and the addition of Paul should push them over the top.
Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 28.5 (+125)
Did we miss the memo that the Timberwolves are, all of a sudden, a good team? Sure, they added Anthony Edwards as the first pick in the NBA draft, but the defensive deficiencies that plagued the T-Wolves last season didn’t just miraculously disappear because Edwards and D’Angelo Russell are now on the roster.
Minnesota ranked 27th in points allowed per game last season and while the addition of Ricky Rubio should help that somewhat, the fact remains that Russell will have the ball in his hands in crunch time and Karl-Anthony Towns has yet to prove he can show up in big games.
A lot of the Western Conference teams have improved in the offseason and it’s going to be a dogfight near the end of the season to get those final playoff spots.