Chiefs vs. Ravens all-time series
The Chiefs have won three in a row, including last Sept. 22 in Kansas City, when they beat the Ravens, 33-28. Mahomes also got the better of Jackson on Dec. 9, 2018, 27-24 in overtime, also in Arrowhead Stadium. Before that, the Chiefs won in Baltimore, 34-14 on Dec. 20, 2015.
The Ravens previously were on a four-game winning streak in the rivalry. The Chiefs hold a 6-4 edge in the 10 meetings going back to 1999.
Three trends to know
— 54 percent of spread bettors like the Chiefs to cover the small number on the road. 62 percent of moneyline bettors like the reigning champs to win outright.
— 64 percent of over/under bettors like the game to surpass its high point total with two explosive offenses and elite quarterbacks on the field.
— The Chiefs were 14-5 against the spread last season. They’ve started 1-1 this season. The Ravens were 10-6-1 against the spread last season. They are 2-0 this season.
It’s hard enough to bet against Patrick Mahomes in any given week, and it’s even harder as an underdog – a position where he’s 5-0-1 against the spread with four outright wins in his career. He’s also 5-1 ATS in his last six against teams with a winning record, and 5-0 ATS in his last five games with a total of 50 or higher.
Lamar Jackson is 8-3 ATS versus teams above .500 and 3-0 ATS in his career with a total of at least 50, including 2-0 ATS in two matchups with the Chiefs. Yet he’s disappointed as a home favorite, with a 5-10-1 career record ATS in that spot. Mahomes is 10-5-2 ATS in his career on the road.
The trends also favor Kansas City in the coaching department. Andy Reid is 55-31-2 ATS as a road underdog in his career, including a 9-1-1 record ATS over his last 11 contests. John Harbaugh, the 2019 Coach of the Year, is 12-20-1 ATS in his last 33, giving 3.5 points or more at home.
If you’re eyeing the over on a high total, history favors it. Playing over on a total this high has clearly been profitable in three of the last four seasons – with a 32-22-3 record in that span – while totals above 50 have gone 16-9-3 to the over since 2019.