The Ravens (-6) are gearing up to welcome their AFC North foe Cleveland Browns to M&T Bank Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on CBS and kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET.
Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens
The line for this AFC game is sitting at 6 points in favor of Baltimore. The Browns are currently being given +190 moneyline odds while the Ravens are -230. The over/under is set at 46 points. Some solid live betting scenarios could present themselves during the matchup.
The opening line was originally -5 while the O/U was set initially at 46.5, so the early action appears to be leaned toward the Ravens.
The Browns are 1-2 straight up (SU) and the team has yet to face any AFC North opponents this year. The Ravens are 2-1 SU overall and also 0-0 SU against divisional foes. The disappointing Browns are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.2 units so far. The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 1-2.
The Ravens are up 1.0 unit this season. The team is 1-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-1.
The Browns fell to the Rams 20-13 in a Week 3 game where the passing game the primary culprit as Baker Mayfield completed just 18 passes on 36 attempts for 195 yards, along with a TD and an interception. Nick Chubb (96 yards on 23 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Odell Beckham Jr. (six receptions, 56 yards) and Chubb (four catches, 35 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Baltimore just lost 33-28 to Kansas City a week ago. The defense let the Chiefs pass for 374 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 140 yards. Darrel Williams had a good outing in the win, recording 62 rushing yards on nine attempts, along with 47 yards on five catches for Kansas City. For Baltimore, Lamar Jackson completed 22-of-43 passes for 267 yards. Mark Ingram II (103 rushing yards on 16 attempts, three TDs) handled the running attack as Nick Boyle (four receptions, 58 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Cleveland has run the ball on 37.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baltimore has a rush percentage of 51.2 percent. The Browns have produced 89 rush yards/game (including 0 per game against North opponents) and have two scores on the ground this year. The Ravens are putting up 217 rushing yards per contest (0 in conference) and have six total rush TDs.
It seems like the Ravens ought to own the advantage when it comes to efficiency in the ground game, since their running backs has generated 5.9 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Browns have ran for 4.1 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents.
The Browns have tallied 268 yards/game in the air overall (0 per game against conference opposition) and have three passing scores so far. The Ravens have put up 306 pass yards per game (0.0 in the AFC) and have eight total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Cleveland seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 102 rush yards and 239 pass yards per game. Baltimore has allowed 60.3 yards per game on the ground and 304.3 to opposing teams in the air. The Browns are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.31 to opposing QBs, while the Ravens have allowed a 7.42 ANY/A.
Mayfield has amassed 480 passing yards this year, and has completed 43-of-74 attempts with two passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Mayfield has a 3.40 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.58 over the last two games.
Nick Chubb, Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry have combined to account for 540 total yards and two touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
Lamar Jackson has accounted for 591 yards, five TDs and zero INTs for Baltimore. His ANY/A stands at 10.03 for the season and 6.44 over his past two games.
Similar to the Browns, expect a balanced approach offensively from Baltimore this Sunday. Mark Ingram II (210 rushing yards, five rush TDs, 32 receiving yards on the year), Lamar Jackson (52 rush yards, one rush TD, zero receiving yards) and Marquise Brown (196 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have combined to account for 513 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two games.
OTL PICK: Browns +7
OTL PREDICTION: Ravens 23 Browns 20