Over the last five weeks, the sharps have absolutely crushed the sportsbooks in both NFL and college football wagering. The information from Vegas and offshore that we get is currently on a red-hot 12-2 ATS (86%) run on all football plays including our Big Play on Navy -11 over Army last Saturday!
TEXANS &@ BUCS +3
Moneyline: HOU: (-160) | TB: (+140)
Spread: HOU: -3 (-110) | TB: +3 (-110)
Total: 49.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: 49.5 (-110)
Public (Spread) Betting Percentages:
HOU: 63% | TB: 27%
The line for Saturday’s early kickoff has ticked up steadily from its opening of Houston as 1.5-point road favorites following strong public support in favor of the Texans. According to the “Whispers” out in Vegas, the sharps are in agreement with the squares and are laying the current spread of a full field goal (-3) backing Deshaun Watson and the Texans, who can clinch the AFC South with a victory over Tampa Bay.
Houston (9-5 SU, 7-7 ATS) who is 4-2 ATS in its six road games will be looking to earn their 10th win in search of the AFC South crown and a home playoff game. Tampa Bay (7-7 SU, 8-6 ATS) will be looking to extend its current four-game winning streak.
On the offensive side for Houston, fantasy owners will likely use QB Deshaun Watson as well as WRs DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller in their fantasy championship lineups. Watson, who has thrown multiple touchdown passes in three of his last four games, comes in as a top-five option according to my model for championship week. The biggest beneficiaries of that production will once again be the dynamic duo of Hopkins and Fuller. Fire up the trio with extreme confidence.
On the Tampa Bay side, fantasy owners will be starting QB Jameis Winston and WR Breshad Perriman. Winston has set NFL records in his last two games, becoming the first quarterback to throw for 450 yards or more in consecutive games. Perriman could be in a prime position to carry fantasy teams following the injuries to starting wideouts Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Amidst increased snap counts and targets, the fifth-year wide receiver has exploded for four touchdowns over his last two games. Perriman has a favorable matchup against a 28th-ranked Houston pass defense.
The sharps like the road favorite here and are betting that the Texans will leave Florida as AFC South champs and end Tampa Bay’s winning streak.
OTL’S exclusive Power Ratings say that the Bucs should be a -1 PT fav in this game so we will grab the extra points and take +3.
Advanced Pick: BUCS +3
Trends:
- Tampa Bay is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four games overall.
- The over is 5-0 in Tampa Bay’s last five home games.
- Houston is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.
- The over is 8-2 in Houston’s last ten games as a road favorite.