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Cy Young Odds & Leaders


Jun 21, 2022 EST


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It’s a good time to check out the latest odds for the Cy Young odds award in the National and American Leagues with June wrapping up. When we looked at the odds earlier this month, Corbin Burnes and Justin Verlander were the favorites to win the awards once again, but there are two new pitchers with the shortest odds, not to mention a few sleepers climbing up the odds boards.

Miami’s Sandy Alcantara and Tampa’s Shane McClanahan are now the betting favorites. In our first MLB Cy Young odds update, Alcantara was a sleeper at +600, but now his odds are at +350. He’s just one of many pitchers in both leagues that saw their odds increase or decrease over the past couple weeks. One thing to remember is that we will see more movement the closer we get to the All-Star break next month.

Cy Young Odds

Below, we’ll break down the latest odds for both AL and Cy Young favorites while also discussing some of our favorite sleepers. Remember, futures bets are all about value, so even if you’ve already made some bets, you can always add to your portfolio.

2022 MLB Cy Young odds: Favorites in NL & AL

Sandy Alcantara, Marlins (+350). Alcantara is quietly putting together a Cy Young-caliber season for the Marlins. The 26-year-old righty is 7-2 with a 1.72 ERA through 14 starts and has 90 strikeouts in a league-leading 99.1 innings.

The former All-Star pitcher has been outstanding in his past two starts, allowing 12 hits, four earned runs, and posting 13 strikeouts in 15.2 innings. With only 10 days left in the month, Alcantara also has a stellar 1.14 ERA through four outings. It would not be shocking to see Alcantara finish the month with a sub-2.00 ERA, which will only enhance his chances of winning the NL Cy Young and possibly starting in the All-Star game.

Shane McClanahan, Rays (+350). The 25-year-old McClanahan has vaulted up the AL Cy Young odds and is now tied with Justin Verlander as a favorite. The second-year pitcher has been lights out for the Rays this season with a 7-3 record and 1.84 ERA (first in the majors) in 13 starts. He has 105 strikeouts in 78.1 innings and a career-high K/9 of 12.1.

The only other starting pitcher in the majors with a higher K/9 than McClanahan is Dylan Cease (12.8), who has 97 strikeouts in 68 innings. The Rays will be leaning on the young righty to keep them in the playoff race in a division that is owned by the Yankees. It would not be a bad idea to place a bet on McClanahan, who plays an integral role in Tampa Bay’s success. As tough as the AL East usually is on pitchers, remember three of the past six AL Cy Young winners, including then-Ray Blake Snell in 2018, pitched in that division.

2022 MLB Cy Young odds: Sleepers in NL & AL

Max Fried, Braves (+1400). There hasn’t been a ton of attention on Fried, who has been the best pitcher on the Braves’ staff outside of rookie Spencer Strider. The 28-year-old lefty is 7-2 with a 2.90 ERA and has 75 strikeouts in 80.2 innings. He might not be one of the top strikeout pitchers in baseball, but his presence on the mound makes Atlanta better.

The veteran pitcher ranks sixth in bWAR for pitchers (2.7) in the majors and has a top-five FIP in the National League (2.79). This month, Fried has been dialed in with a 2.29 ERA through three starts. He’s allowed five earned runs in 19.2 innings and held opponents to a .222 average at the plate. If the Braves can continue to play winning baseball going into July and cut down the Mets’ lead in the NL East, Fried’s odds will only improve.

More NL Cy Young sleepers to consider: Carlos Rodon, Giants (+1600); Aaron Nola, Phillies (+2000)

Logan Gilbert, Mariners (+3500). When a player usually has odds greater than 20/1 to win an award, we would view him as a long shot. However, Gibert took a massive leap from where he was earlier this month (+5000) in the AL Cy Young race with only less than two weeks left in June.

In our first Cy Young odds update on June 8, Gilbert was coming off of a quality start against the Astros where he gave up seven hits and three earned runs while striking out three in six innings. Since that outing, the young starter has allowed just two earned runs and posted 12 strikeouts in 12 innings (1.50 ERA). Gilbert will likely have one more start this month to improve his standing in the race. He still has a long way to go to overtake the pitchers in front of him, but at 35/1 odds, you can afford to throw a few dollars on Gilbert.

More AL Cy Young sleepers to consider: Dylan Cease, White Sox (+2000); Shane Bieber, Guardians (+2000)

2022 MLB Cy Young odds: Long shots in NL & AL

Tyler Anderson, Dodgers (+5000). It’s relatively unlikely that Anderson will win the NL Cy Young this season, but the veteran pitcher is still having a career year in his first season in Los Angeles.

The 32-year-old southpaw has surpassed his career high in wins (7) with an 8-0 record in 12 games (10 starts) this season. He also has a career-best 2.82 ERA to go along with 63 strikeouts in 67 innings. The Dodgers are also 9-3 this season when Anderson is on the mound. He isn’t the best pitcher in Los Angeles’ rotation, which features Julio Urias, Walker Buehler, and Clayton Kershaw. However, he’s been the most consistent and just fell short of a no-hitter in his last start against the Angels. If Anderson can stay perfect at least until the All-Star break, we might have to take him seriously for the NL Cy Young.

More NL Cy Young long shots to consider: Yu Darvish, Padres (+6600); Carlos Carrasco, Mets (+8000)

Framber Valdez, Astros (+5000). Valdez will have a tough time winning the AL Cy Young with Verlander still considered a favorite, but we should not discount what he’s done this season for the Astros.

The 28-year-old lefty has the second-best ERA among the starting pitchers (2.78) and the second-most wins (7) behind Verlander. He hasn’t had huge strikeout performances this season, but he still has 68 Ks in 81 innings. Valdez seems to be rounding into form, which is great news for the Astros. He’s 6-1 with an ERA of 2.40 in his past seven starts. If he can continue to give Houston quality starts and pick up wins along the way, Valdez might be someone to keep an eye on in the AL Cy Young race.

More AL Cy Young long shots to consider: Shohei Ohtani, Angels (+4000); Paul Blackburn, Athletics (+8000)

NL Cy Young Odds

Sandy Alcantara, Marlins +300
Joe Musgrove, Padres +450
Corbin Burnes, Brewers +500
Zack Wheeler, Phillies +1000
Max Fried, Braves+1400
Pablo Lopez, Marlins +1400
Carlos Rodon, Giants +1600
Aaron Nola, Phillies +2000
Tony Gonsolin, Dodgers +2000
Zac Gallen, D-backs +3000
Kyle Wright, Braves +3000
Josh Hader, Brewers +3500
Max Scherzer, Mets +4000
Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers +4000
Julio Urias, Dodgers +4000
Eric Lauer, Brewers +4000
Brandon Woodruff, Brewers +5000
Logan Webb, Giants +5000
Miles Mikolas, Cardinals +5000
Sean Manaea, Padres +5000
Tyler Anderson, Dodgers +5000
Jacob deGrom, Mets +6600
Walker Buehler, Dodgers +6600
Yu Darvish, Padres +6600
Chris Bassitt, Mets +8000
Freddy Peralta, Brewers +8000
Kyle Gibson, Phillies +8000
Carlos Carrasco, Mets +8000
Tylor Megill, Mets +8000
Ian Anderson, Braves +10000
Charlie Morton, Braves +10000
Trevor Rogers, Marlins +10000
Adam Wainwright, Cardinals +10000
Andrew Heaney, Dodgers +10000
Alex Cobb, Giants +10000
Merrill Kelly, D-backs +10000
Edwin Diaz, Mets +10000
Jesus Luzardo, Marlins +12500
Blake Snell, Padres +15000
Madison Bumgarner, D-backs +15000
Tyler Mahle, Reds +15000
Wade Miley, Cubs +20000
Alex Wood, Giants +20000
Ranger Suarez, Phillies +20000
Jack Flaherty, Cardinals +25000
Luis Castillo, Reds +25000
Marcus Stroman, Cubs +25000
Mike Clevinger, Padres +25000
Adrian Houser, Brewers +25000
Mitch Keller, Pirates +25000
Stephen Strasburg, Nationals +25000
Kyle Hendricks, Cubs +25000
German Marquez, Rockies +30000
Patrick Corbin, Nationals +50000
Anthony DeSclafani, Giants +50000
Steven Matz, Cardinals +50000
Dustin May, Dodgers +50000
Mike Soroka, Braves +50000
Dinelson Lamet, Padres +50000

AL Cy Young Odds

Shane McClanahan, Rays +350
Justin Verlander, Astros +350
Alek Manoah, Blue Jays +550
Nestor Cortes, Yankees +900
Kevin Gausman, Blue Jays +1000
Gerrit Cole, Yankees +1000
Shane Bieber, Guardians +2000
Tarik Skubal, Tigers +2000
Dylan Cease, White Sox +2500
Lucas Giolito, White Sox +3000
Logan Gilbert, Mariners +3500
Shohei Ohtani, Angels +4000
Michael Kopech, White Sox +4000
Luis Severino, Yankees +5000
Joe Ryan, Twins +5000
Framber Valdez, Astros +5000
Martin Perez, Rangers +5000
Noah Syndergaard, Angels +6600
Robbie Ray, Mariners +6600
Jameson Taillon, Yankees +6600
Frankie Montas, A’s +6600
Luis Garcia, Astros +8000
Paul Blackburn, A’s +8000
Brad Keller +10000
Triston McKenzie, Guardians +10000
Brad Keller, Royals +10000
Garrett Whitlock, Red Sox +10000
Lance McCullers, Jr. +12500
Jose Berrios, Blue Jays +12500
Lance Lynn, White Sox +15000
Nathan Eovaldi, Red Sox +15000
Jordan Montgomery, Yankees +15000
Eduardo Rodriguez, Tigers +15000
Sonny Gray, Twins +15000
Aroldis Chapman, Yankees +15000
Michael King, Yankees +15000
Chris Sale, Red Sox +25000
Jose Urquidy, Astros +25000
Corey Kluber, Rays +25000
Shane Baz, Rays +25000
Jon Gray, Rangers +25000
Yusei Kikuchi, Mariners +25000
Dylan Bundy, Twins +25000
Hyun-Jin Ryu, Blue Jays +50000
Marco Gonzales, Mariners +50000
Jake Odorizzi, Astros +50000
Aaron Civale, Guardians +50000
Zach Plesac, Guardians +50000

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