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Week 3 NFL Odds

Sep 18, 2023 EST

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Some of the larger NFL Week 3 lines include:

  • Giants (+10) at 49ers (-10)
  • Colts (+8.5) at Ravens (-8.5)
  • Bears (+12.5) at Chiefs (-12.5)
  • Cowboys (-12.5) at Cardinals (+12.5)
  • Rams (+6.5) at Bengals (-6.5)

Tighter spreads from the NFL Week 3 schedule include:

  • Patriots (-2.5) at Jets (+2.5)
  • Chargers (-1.5) at Vikings (+1.5)
  • Saints (+1.5) at Packers (-1.5)
  • Steelers (-1.5) at Raiders (+1.5)


The second weekend of the NFL season is nearly in the books so it’s time to dive into NFL Week 3 odds.

Buffalo Bills (-6.5) at Washington Commanders (+6.5)

Despite the Bills cashing in — and then some — as roughly touchdown favorites against the Raiders on Sunday, this spread hasn’t budged much from the look-ahead line. For context, Buffalo was initially priced as a 5.5-point favorite. Per the betting odds above, it’s been bumped up a half-point to as high as -6.5.

This minimal shift is because the Commanders are off to a 2-0 outright start. They closed as a four-point underdog in the Mile High City and overcame an 18-point first-half deficit to boot.

After Sam Howell scuffled in their season opener, the second-year quarterback tallied 6.19 yards per pass attempt (YPA) against Denver’s above-average defense. Howell must deliver a similar outing in order to keep pace with Josh Allen & Co. Keep in mind that Buffalo’s own struggles in Week 1 seemed to be a product of Allen’s historical woes against the Jets’ defense. Thus, they’re unlikely to repeat themselves this time around.

Colts (+8.5) at Ravens (-8.5)

Similar to the previous contest, Baltimore’s impressive victory in Cincinnati didn’t trigger this spread to move. Some of that could be accredited to its banged-up roster, yet bettors who backed the Colts may say otherwise. Anthony Richardson & Co. outgained Houston by 1.4 yards per play (YPP) in Sunday’s win.

Richardson, one of the favorites among 2023 Offensive Rookie of the Year odds (+500), actually suffered a concussion early in the second quarter and didn’t return. That said, the betting market clearly doesn’t consider the potential drop-off from Richardson to veteran quarterback Gardner Mindshew to be substantial.

Moreover, this game may represent a “sandwich” spot for the Ravens. The current favorite among AFC North odds will travel to Cleveland for a critical matchup in Week 4. Hence, there’s a chance that Lamar Jackson and his teammates could look past Indianapolis.

Eagles (-6.5) at Buccaneers (+6.5)

Among the trio of games discussed in this piece on Week 3 odds, this one showcases the most noteworthy adjustment from the look-ahead line. It was first set at or above the key number of a touchdown across NFL betting sites. Currently, the Eagles are positioned as 6.5-point favorites.

While Philadelphia racked up a convincing win over Minnesota in Week 2, the Eagles benefited from winning the turnover battle (+3). Bettors certainly benefit from takeaways in a particular matchup, but they’re not predictable week-over-week. Plus, Jalen Hurts generated only 2.6 YPA against the Vikings — outside of a pair of explosive passing plays to Devonta Smith.

On the flip side, Tampa Bay covered for a second straight week. Baker Mayfield was stellar, accruing 9.3 YPA versus Chicago’s exploitable secondary.


Below we will monitor how the NFL Week 3 odds are moving. First are the look-ahead lines and then updated spreads, moneylines, and totals will be added following this coming weekend’s batch of games.

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