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Archived: MLB Favorites, Contenders & Longshots


Apr 05, 2022 EST


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Favorites

Los Angeles Dodgers (+500): The Dodgers came up short in the playoffs and had to let a few key pieces go, but they brought back legendary LHP Clayton Kershaw for one more run and signed Freddie Freeman to a 6-year deal worth $162 million.

Houston Astros (+1000): The Astros’ young pitching staff was ahead of schedule last season and should only continue to improve. They will have a veteran arm returning, as Justin Verlander is fully healed.

New York Yankees (+1300): The Yankees still need depth in their rotation behind Gerrit Cole and missed out on signing shortstop Trevor Story, who signed with the rival Red Sox. New York will still likely be in the mix, but playing in the loaded AL East won’t do them any favors.

Atlanta Braves (+1200): While they get Ronald Acuna Jr. and Marcell Ozuna back, the defending champs let clubhouse leader Freddie Freeman sign with the rival Dodgers. Atlanta signed former A’s 1B Matt Olson as a replacement.

Chicago White Sox (+1200): The White Sox play in what could be the worst division in baseball again, so they could coast to another playoff berth. Still, this team has been knocked out with a whimper in back-to-back postseasons.

Toronto Blue Jays (+1000): An exciting young team with firepower up and down the roster, the Blue Jays own similar title odds to the Yankees at most sportsbooks and lower odds than fellow AL East teams the Red Sox and Rays.

New York Mets (+1500):Landing Max Scherzer is a big reason the Mets have seen their odds jump up the odds board from +1800 to +1000. There were massive chemistry issues with this team last year, but they could have one of the best one-two punches of all-time if Jacob deGrom (forearm) can get healthy.

Contenders

San Diego Padres (+1800): Injuries seemed to hit the Padres at the worst times last season with their star-studded rotation routinely underperforming. Their 2022 season is off to a similar start as Fernando Tatis will miss up to three months due to a fractured wrist.

San Francisco Giants (+2800): After winning a league-high 107 games, the Giants lost some key pieces, including franchise centerpiece Buster Posey. This club has been overlooked despite drastically outperforming expectations last season.

Boston Red Sox (+2500): Chris Sale and new acquisition James Paxton are already on the IL, but the Red Sox can look to outscore the opposition in the loaded A.L. East with Trevor Story ready to slot in at 2B.

Tampa Bay Rays (+1700): The Red Sox dismissed the Rays rather easily in last year’s postseason, winning their ALDS, 3-1. Tampa Bay brought in Corey Kluber to help stabilize their rotation.

Milwaukee Brewers (+1600): The Brewers have two of the best young arms in the game in Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff, and an elite third starter in Freddy Peralta. They will need Christian Yelich and the rest of their lineup to produce more after batting a collective .233 last year.

St. Louis Cardinals (+3000): The Cardinals went on a franchise-record 17-game win streak to seal a Wild Card berth last season and they should carry some of that momentum into the 2022 season. It was stunning to see manager Mike Shildt fired after leading them on that run. Oliver Marmol is the new head man in St. Louis.

Longshots

Philadelphia Phillies (+3000): Bryce Harper grabbed his second career N.L. MVP award and Zack Wheeler turned in a surprise CY Young candidate campaign. The Phillies have started to build around those players and signed a key reliever in Corey Knebel this off-season.

Seattle Mariners (+4000): The Mariners closed the 2021 season with an 18-8 record in September to showcase their growth potential. They added lefty flamethrower Robbie Ray to provide some stability in an otherwise shaky rotation.

Los Angeles Angels (+3500): Shohei Ohtani carried the Angels as a pitcher and hitter last season, while Mike Trout missed most of the campaign due to injury. That dynamic duo could make some noise in the A.L. West if the Angels can find some consistent pitching.

Cincinnati Reds (+15000): Joey Votto is entering his age 38 season and Mike Moustakas is not getting any younger. Cincy is again in rebuild mode after shipping Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez to Seattle.

Oakland Athletics (+25000): The Athletics have earned a reputation for thriving in the regular season and floundering in the playoffs. Yet they didn’t even close 2021 strong with a 13-16 record down the stretch.

Detroit Tigers (+6500): After five consecutive losing seasons, Detroit’s front office made a big move by signing Javy Baez to a six-year, $140 million deal.

Cleveland Guardians (+10000): Jose Ramirez will be back after another elite all-around campaign, and the Guardians have a host of talented prospects coming up through the pipeline.

Kansas City Royals (+12000): The Royals scored just 4.2 runs per game last season and posted a 4.65 ERA as a team. They signed veteran RHP Brad Peacock to try and provide some leadership for their struggling rotation.

Minnesota Twins (+6000): The Twins are the youngest team in the A.L., so most of their roster should be ready for a fresh start after the franchise has lost 18 straight playoff games. The Twins have the second lowest odds, at +500, to win the AL Central behind the White Sox.

Washington Nationals (+15000): Juan Soto was a legit MVP candidate last season and is now the face of the franchise with Ryan Zimmerman retired. Manager Dave Martinez will look to change the chemistry in the clubhouse after a down year.

Miami Marlins (+9000): Derek Jeter’s experiment as Marlins CEO is over following his reported frustration with Miami’s inability to spend in free agency. They traded for former Rays utility man Joey Wendle and will have to keep leaning on their own strong farm system.

Colorado Rockies (+25000): The rebuilding Rockies declined to bring back Ian Desmond and Trevor Story and are instead focusing on stockpiling arms in the hopes of building a staff for the future. Colorado is +12000 to win the top-heavy NL West.

Chicago Cubs (+13000): After another non-competitive season, the Cubs are looking to get back in the mix as they signed starter Marcus Stroman. Stroman, Justin Steele and Kyle Hendricks will lead the rotation.

Arizona Diamondbacks (+25000): The D’Backs were historically bad last year with a team ERA of 5.11, and they set a new record with 24 straight road losses.

Texas Rangers (+10000): The Rangers finished last in MLB with a collective .294 on-base percentage and were second-to-last with a collective .232 batting average last year. So they sprung for Corey Seager and on-base machine Matt Carpenter.

Pittsburgh Pirates (+50000): The Pirates scored the fewest runs per game (3.76) last season and had a .364% slugging percentage as a team. Pittsburgh will start JT Brubaker on Opening Day and he will be the seventh different Opening Day starter for the club in as many years.

Baltimore Orioles (+50000): Playing in the most difficult division in baseball, the O’s went 20-56 against A.L. East competition last season and watched all four of their rivals pile up 90-plus wins.

HOW WORLD SERIES ODDS ARE CHANGING

Here are what odds to win the World Series looked like on April 5

  • LA Dodgers +475
  • Toronto Blue Jays +850
  • New York Yankees +900
  • Houston Astros +1000
  • Atlanta Braves +1000
  • New York Mets +1100
  • Chicago White Sox +1100
  • Milwaukee Brewers +1600
  • Tampa Bay Rays +1700
  • San Diego Padres +1800
  • Boston Red Sox +2200
  • Philadelphia Phillies +2200
  • San Francisco Giants +2800
  • St. Louis Cardinals +3000
  • LA Angels +3500
  • Seattle Mariners +4000
  • Minnesota Twins +6000
  • Detroit Tigers +6500
  • Miami Marlins +9000
  • Cleveland Guardians +10000
  • Chicago Cubs +10000
  • Texas Rangers +10000
  • Kansas City Royals +12000
  • Cincinnati Reds +15000
  • Washington Nationals +15000
  • Oakland Athletics +20000
  • Colorado Rockies +25000
  • Arizona Diamondbacks +25000
  • Pittsburgh Pirates +30000
  • Baltimore Orioles +30000
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