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NFL Ticker


Oct 13, 2021 EST


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Buccaneers tight end Rob Gronkowski (ribs) won’t play in Thursday’s game against the Eagles.

Gronk suffered the injury in Tampa Bay’s Week 3 loss to the Rams. Fellow TEs Cameron Brate and O.J. Howard have combined for 11 targets in his absence, and Brate would likely be the one to consider if you’re looking into props. Tampa Bay is a 6.5/7-point road favorite.
TEN
Spread

TUESDAY SNAPSHOT: The Titans bounced back from their embarrassing loss to the Jets to get a pretty easy W on the road in Jacksonville. Still, the market was impressed enough with the Bills to move the Titans from +3.5 on the look-ahead to +5.5 on DraftKings Sportsbook. They smacked the Bills here last year, 42-16.

Keep an eye on the injury report to see if WR Julio Jones makes it back. Ryan Tannehill has had a tough time getting rolling since he went down, even with AJ Brown returning for Week 5.

BUF
Spread

TUESDAY SNAPSHOT: The Bills pummeled their AFC rival Chiefs on Sunday night and the market responded. Originally at -3.5 for the road game against Tennessee on Monday night, the Bills now find themselves -5.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, although they can be found as low as -4.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

If the Bills offense can’t be more consistent against the Titans after relying on long plays against KC, it might be time to wonder if elite Josh Allen was a one-year thing.

MIA
Injuries

The Dolphins activated quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (broken ribs) off injured reserve.

Tagovailoa was banged up in Miami’s Week 2 loss to the Bills, and he’ll be eligible for Sunday’s game against the Jaguars in London. The Dolphins are 3.5-point road favorites.

PIT
Spread

TUESDAY SNAPSHOT: What looked like a tough home game — they were +3 underdogs on the look-ahead — has become much more palatable now that Russell Wilson is out and Geno Smith helms the Seattle offense. The line is now -4.5 for the Steelers with DraftKings Sportsbook inching it up to -5.

It’s anyone’s guess how the Seattle offense will perform but at least the Steelers look to be finally finding some footing with their own offense after a putrid start to the season. They have hit some deep balls the past two weeks and a vulnerable Seattle secondary should help them keep the long shots up.
SEA
Spread

TUESDAY SNAPSHOT: How much is Russell Wilson worth to the spread? Assuming everything else static — obviously not reasonable, but for comparison’s sake assume it — the market says about 7.5 points. That’s the move for Week 6 as Geno Smith takes the offense over for the road game in Pittsburgh. The Seahawks moved from -3 to +4.5, with DraftKings Sportsbook even hanging +5.

The staff in Seattle has had some extra time to get Smith ready, but there’s no getting around the fact he’ll need to air it out some as Pittsburgh has one of the stronger run defenses — sixth in DVOA.
ARI
Injuries

Cardinals defensive end Chandler Jones was placed on the reserve/COVID list on Tuesday.

If Jones was vaccinated, he could still be cleared for Sunday’s game against the Browns. He’s generated five of Arizona’s 12 sacks this season. Kliff Kingsbury’s team is a 2.5/3-point road underdog in Week 6.
NE
Spread

TUESDAY SNAPSHOT: After an impressive near-win against the Bucs, the Patriots looked out of sorts and sluggish on the road against Houston. They barely won after closing as -7.5 favorites, and the market responded by shifting the line for the home game against Dallas from +1 all the way to +4.

The key for New England to keep this competitive could be the offensive line. They missed four-fifths of their starters due to COVID and injury last week. If they can get back to par there, this game could be very competitive, but it’s tough to see them keeping pace with the Cowboys’ elite offense if they have no blockers.
DAL
Spread

TUESDAY SNAPSHOT: One of the bigger moves from the look-ahead markets came with the Cowboys moving from -1 at New England all the way to -4. A couple of things converge here. For one, the Cowboys continue to crush, beating the market expectation in every game this season. Second, the Patriots almost laid a massive egg, barely escaping as big favorites on the road against Houston.

Keep an eye on the Patriots’ injury report. If they get back their offensive line — four players missed Week 5 — this could be a much different game.
DET
Injuries

Lions wide receiver Quintez Cephus (broken collarbone) was placed on injured reserve on Tuesday.

Cephus has only amassed a 12.3% target rate this season, but he’s represented one of Jared Goff’s favorite vertical threats. Detroit is a three-point home underdog against the Bengals in Week 6.
DEN
Spread

TUESDAY SNAPSHOT: The Broncos return to the friendly confines of Mile High for a key divisional game between upstarts as the Raiders come to town. The Raiders appear to be in a slump and are experiencing disarray in the locker room with Coach Jon Gruden unceremoniously pushed out the door. The Broncos catch them at a nice time and the -4 line has come up after they were only -2.5 in the look-aheads.

Market confidence may be renewed after QB Teddy Bridgewater made it through the game against Pittsburgh unscathed.
BAL
Injuries

Ravens left guard Ben Cleveland (knee) was placed on injured reserve on Tuesday.

With Baltimore left tackle Ronnie Stanley (ankle) already week-to-week, John Harbaugh’s offensive line will face a tough test against the Chargers’ top-ten pass rush. The Ravens are three-point home favorites in Week 6.
LV
Spread

TUESDAY SNAPSHOT: Las Vegas beat market expectations in a couple of high-profile early upsets, but has this team come back to Earth? Another anemic offensive performance — they scored 9 points and got just 4.3 YPP — has them moving from +2.5 at Denver in the look-aheads to +4 now. That comes despite the Broncos having their second-straight rough offensive performance.

The Raiders must get Derek Carr back looking downfield as he has too often settled for short stuff in recent weeks. That’s a problem for new Coach Rich Bisaccia to wrestle with after the resignation of Jon Gruden. How will the Las Vegas offense change if at all?

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