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NFL: Saints 2020 Season Betting Preview


Aug 22, 2020 EST


The New Orleans Saints are poised for another run to the NFL postseason in 2020. Fans and bettors have a wide array of options for the upcoming season at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook. Below, we’ll break down all the betting terms you need to know before diving into the Saints’ 2020 NFL futures odds on their 2020 win total, as well as their odds to win the NFC South and Super Bowl LV.

We’ll also recap the Saints’ top free agent moves to date and look at their 2020 opponents. New Orleans has won three straight NFC South titles heading into 2020, but the Saints are still looking for their first trip to the Super Bowl since the 2009 season. Last year’s 13-3 campaign came to a sudden halt with a 26-20 overtime loss to the Minnesota Vikings in the wild card round at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

Quarterback Drew Brees was named to his 13th Pro Bowl in 2019 while leading the league with a 74.3 completion percentage across 11 games played. Wide receiver Michael Thomas won the Offensive Player of the Year award and backup QB Teddy Bridgewater went 5-0 as a starter in place of an injured Brees to earn himself a full-time gig with the Carolina Panthers.

The Saints ranked third in the NFL in 2019 with 28.6 points per game on offense. The defense ranked a middling 13th with 21.3 points per game allowed, and it gave up 241.8 passing yards per contest. Still, the Saints ranked second in the league with a plus-15 turnover differential. They forced 23 takeaways and committed a league-low eight turnovers.

The season came crashing down with the home playoff loss to the Vikings in the NFC wild card round. Vikings RB Dalvin Cook racked up 130 yards from scrimmage with two rushing touchdowns, while Brees tossed an interception and lost a fumble.

While going 13-3, straight-up, to finish atop the NFC South and fall just shy of a first-round bye, the Saints went a league-best 11-5 against the spread in the regular season. They won games by an average of 7.3 points and covered the spread by 3.1 PPG. New Orleans went 9-7 against the Over/Under and topped the point projections by 2.9 PPG.

SAINTS SCHEDULE AND ODDS


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New Orleans Saints
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+1200
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+1200
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+1200

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS ODDS: SUPER BOWL LV

The Saints opened the offseason +1200 to win Super Bowl LV and still sit at that number. Odds will be adjusted based on the Saints’ perceived chances of winning and will also be impacted by the performances of the other teams in the NFC South, the NFC or top contenders in the AFC.

Major trades and injuries can affect the odds for multiple teams at once. Recent performance and multi-game winning or losing streaks also have large impacts as bettors react to recency bias. Wins and losses in primetime with increased viewership will affect the odds more than either outcome in the standard 1 p.m. ET Sunday time slot as well.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS ODDS: NFC SOUTH

The Saints are the heaviest division favorite in the NFC with -134 odds to win the NFC South. The Buccaneers are +160 while the Falcons are +900 and the Panthers are +2000.

The NFL standings will greatly impact the odds, as do the two head-to-head meetings between each set of division rivals in a given season. Be sure to not overreact to singular games and weigh weekly results against the season as a whole.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS ODDS: TEAM WIN TOTAL

The Saints are again expressed as the favorites in the NFC South with the highest projected win total of the four teams at 10. Both the Over and Under are priced at -110 with a $9.09 profit on a $10 wager for either side. If the Saints were to finish the season at 10-6 or 10-5-1, it would be deemed a push and all bets would be refunded.

The projection may be lowered or raised based on how the Saints (and their competition) start the season. An early winning streak would see the number rise with a losing streak having the opposite effect.

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