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Archived: NFL Betting Trends Week 3


Sep 20, 2019 EST


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We come into the week with eight teams that are 0-2 ATS: Dolphins, Jets, Steelers, Eagles, Giants, Bears, Saints and Panthers.

For a multitude of reasons, I’d say everyone on that 0-2 ATS list outside of maybe the Eagles is very hard to put your trust in this weekend, but this has been a very profitable spot over the years.

Over the last three seasons, teams that started 0-2 ATS have an ATS record of 16-5 in Week 3!

Over the last three seasons, teams that started 0-2 ATS have an ATS record of 16-5 (76%) in Week 3! A bigger sample size has them at 23-12 ATS (65.7%) over the last five seasons and 44-32 ATS (57.8%) over the last 10 seasons.

Bengals-Bills

  • The Bills rank fifth in net yards per play. The Bengals are 30th.
  • The Bills have a red-zone TD scoring percentage of 100. Cincinnati has a league-worst 16.67%.
  • The Bengals are 0-8 SU in their last eight games as an underdog.
  • The Bills are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as favorite.
  • The Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as road underdogs.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Bills’ last five games at home. (Avg combined score: 46.2)
Broncos-Packers
  • The Packers have allowed the second-fewest points this season. The Broncos have scored the fifth-fewest points.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Broncos’ last 11 games. (Avg combined score: 38.09)
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Packers’ last five games at home. (Avg combined score: 40.4)
  • The Packers are 13-0-1 SU in their last 14 games at home in September.
  • The Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games at home in September.
  • The Broncos are 0-6 SU in their last six games. (Avg losing margin: 7.33)
  • The Broncos are 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as road underdogs.
Dolphins-Cowboys
  • The Dolphins are 0-7 SU in their last seven games on the road. (Avg losing margin: 18.71)
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Cowboys’ last nine games at home. (Avg combined score: 45.89)
  • The Cowboys are 6-0 SU in their last six games at home. (Avg winning margin: 7.33)
  • The Dolphins rank last in net yards per play. The Cowboys are fourth.
Falcons-Colts
  • The Colts are 6-0 SU in their last six games at home. (Avg winning margin: 15.0)
  • The Colts are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games as favorite.
  • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Falcons’ last four games. (Avg combined score: 46.0)
  • The Falcons are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as road underdogs.
  • The Falcons are 6-2 SU in their last eight games on the road in September.
  • The Falcons are 1-10 SU and 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games vs the AFC.
Giants-Buccaneers
  • The Giants beat the Bucs 38-35 in New York last season.
  • The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
  • The Giants are 0-5 SU in their last five games. (Avg losing margin: 10.2)
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Buccaneers’ last eight games. (Avg combined score: 43.25)
  • The Giants are 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games vs the Buccaneers.
Jets-Patriots
  • The Patriots beat the Jets 38-3 in New England last season.
  • The Patriots lead the league in net yards per play this season. The Jets are 31st.
  • The Patriots are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a double-digit favorite. The Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a double-digit underdog vs New England.
  • The Patriots have allowed a league-low three points this season. The Jets scored just three points in their most recent game.
  • The Jets are 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games vs their division on the road.
  • The Patriots are 17-0 SU and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as home favorites.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Jets’ last six games vs the Patriots. (Avg combined score: 39.5)
  • The Jets are 0-8 SU in their last eight games on the road vs the Patriots. (Avg losing margin: 14.63)
Lions-Eagles
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Lions’ last nine games. (Avg combined score: 35.0)
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Eagles’ last 14 games at home. (Avg combined score: 38.79)
  • The Lions are 4-12 SU in their last 16 games as underdog.
  • The Eagles are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games as home favorites.
  • The Eagles rank 29th in net yards per play.
Panthers-Cardinals
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Panthers’ last seven games. (Avg combined score: 40.0)
  • The Panthers are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games on the road.
  • The Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as favorite.
  • The Panthers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after consecutive ATS losses.
  • The Cardinals are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after consecutive ATS wins.
Raiders-Vikings
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Vikings’ last 11 games. (Avg combined score: 39.64)
  • The Raiders are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on the road in September.
  • The Raiders are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games as road underdogs.
  • The Vikings are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games as home favorites.
  • The Vikings are 8-1 SU and ATS in their last nine games at home in September.
Ravens-Chiefs
  • The Chiefs defeated the Ravens 27-24 in Kansas City last season.
  • The Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as underdog.
  • The Ravens are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games as road underdogs.
  • The Chiefs are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games as home favorites.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Chiefs’ last 10 games. (Avg combined score: 60.9)
  • The Chiefs are 9-0 SU and ATS in their last nine games in September.
Saints-Seahawks
  • The Seahawks are 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games at home in September.
  • The Seahawks are 6-0 SU in their last six games at home. (Avg winning margin: 9.17)
  • The Saints are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Saints’ last four games on the road. (Avg combined score: 30.5)
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Seahawks’ last six games. (Avg combined score: 51.67)
  • The Seahawks have a red-zone TD scoring percentage of 100.
Steelers-49ers
  • The 49ers are third in net yards per play this season. The Steelers are 28th.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Steelers’ last seven games on the road. (Avg combined score: 43.57)
  • The Steelers are 0-4 SU in their last four games on the road. (Avg losing margin: 10.75)
  • The 49ers are 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games after consecutive ATS wins.
Texans-Chargers
  • The Chargers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after an ATS loss.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Texans’ last four games on the road. (Avg combined score: 53.75)
  • The Texans are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games as underdog.
  • The Chargers are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games as favorite.
  • The Chargers are 8-1 SU in their last nine games in the late afternoon.
  • The Texans are 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs the Chargers.
Rams-Browns
  • The Rams are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 15 of the Browns’ last 21 games at home. (Avg combined score: 39.48)
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Rams’ last five games on the road. (Avg combined score: 42.6)
  • The Browns are 4-21-1 SU in their last 26 games as home underdogs.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Browns’ last 12 games at night.
Bears-Redskins
  • The Bears have allowed the third-fewest points this season. The Redskins have allowed the second-most.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Bears’ last seven games. (Avg combined score: 27.57)
  • The Redskins are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games at night.
  • The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six games at night.
  • The Redskins are 0-5 SU in their last five games at home. (Avg losing margin: 16.8)

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