For the first time in nine seasons, the Patriots failed to reach the AFC Championship last year. The incredible 20-year partnership between Bill Belichick and Tom Brady ended with a whimper when Brady walked off the field after a pick-six in a 20-13 loss to the Titans in the Wild Card round. Brady has moved on to the Tampa Bay Bucs and the Patriots have lost multiple key defenders, but counting this organization always seems to find a way to persevere. What will Belichick and his staff conjure for the 2020-21 season? And how will Cam Newton perform under center in a brand new system?
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 2020 SCHEDULE AND BETTING ODDS
| Week | Date | Time | Opponent | Opening Spread |
|---|
| 1 | Sunday, Sept. 13 | 1:00 ET | vs. Miami | Patriots -6.5 |
| 2 | Sunday, Sept. 20 | 8:20 ET | at Seattle | Seahawks -3.5 |
| 3 | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 1:00 ET | vs. Las Vegas | Patriots -5 |
| 4 | Sunday, Oct. 4 | 4:25 ET | at Kansas City | Chiefs -8 |
| 5 | Sunday, Oct. 11 | 1:00 ET | vs. Denver | Patriots -5 |
| 6 | BYE | |||
| 7 | Sunday, Oct. 25 | 4:25 ET | vs. San Francisco | 49ers -2 |
| 8 | Sunday, Nov. 1 | 1:00 ET | at Buffalo | Bills -1.5 |
| 9 | Monday, Nov. 9 | 8:15 ET | at NY Jets | Patriots -4 |
| 10 | Sunday, Nov. 15 | 8:20 ET | vs. Baltimore | Ravens -3.5 |
| 11 | Sunday, Nov. 22 | 1:00 ET | at Houston | Patriots -1.5 |
| 12 | Sunday, Nov. 29 | 1:00 ET | vs. Arizona | Patriots -7 |
| 13 | Sunday, Dec. 6 | 4:25 ET | at LA Chargers | Patriots -2.5 |
| 14 | Thursday, Dec. 10 | 8:20 ET | at LA Rams | Rams -1 |
| 15 | Sunday, Dec. 20 | 1:00 ET | at Miami | Patriots -5.5 |
| 16 | Monday, Dec. 28 | 8:15 ET | vs. Buffalo | Patriots -2 |
| 17 | Sunday, Jan. 3 | 1:00 ET | vs. NY Jets | TBD |
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Super Bowl odds
The Patriots opened the offseason with +1400 odds (DraftKings Sportsbook) to win the Super Bowl. That number is already down substantially from their usual mark between +400 and +800 during the Brady-Belichick era. When Brady announced his decision to leave in free agency, their odds quickly shifted to around +1800 and they’re now sitting at +2000 at DK Sportsbook.
If the Patriots shock the world and win another Super Bowl this season, a futures ticket on them for $10 would pay out $200 at +2000 odds. These odds shift frequently throughout the NFL season depending on team performance and injuries.
AFC Championship odds
The Patriots are still one of the favorites to win the AFC with +900 odds at DK. They trail well behind the talented Chiefs (+275) and Ravens (+325) but are still being highly regarded despite a clear lack of talent on their roster. The Patriot Reign is likely over for a few years and a bet on the Pats to win the conference would be ill-advised unless you can find a good price.
AFC East odds
Of course, Super Bowl winner isn’t the only way to target the Futures market. The Patriots are still favored to win the AFC East compared to the Buffalo Bills (barely).
New England Patriots win total
You have to go back to 2002 to find the last Patriots team that failed to win 10 regular season games. Their team win total is set at 9.5 (-103 odds at DK) this year and it is that low for good reason. Not only did New England lose key personnel, the team has a brutal schedule that includes home games against title contenders (SF and BAL) and tough road games at the Rams, Seahawks, Texans, and Chiefs. Combine that with the rapid improvement of the Bills and Dolphins in their division, and it’s easy to picture the Pats winning nine games or fewer.
Patriots player props
There aren’t many prop bets up for Patriots players yet because there are many unknowns, including who will start at QB. It’s possible New England drafts a QB and tries to fast track their new signal caller while giving Hoyer some early work. There is so much uncertainty about a franchise and coaching staff that does things uniquely behind closed doors, so you should probably wait until the season gets closer before considering any props.
PATRIOTS 2019 RECAP
Record: 12-4
ATS: 8-7-1
Last season, the Patriots went 12-4 before losing in the playoffs. They were an even 8-8-1 against the spread (ATS) and were favored in each of those games. After starting 9-1 overall and 7-3 ATS, they dropped 4 of their last 6 and went 1-6 ATS over their last 7 games. Patriots games topped the assigned point total 7 times in 17 contests, with their defense finishing atop the league in most meaningful categories.
New England topped its assigned win total (11.5) but most offensive players came up well short of their propositions. Tom Brady tossed 24 touchdowns, well short of his 29.5-touchdown prop and he came up around 100 yards short of his prop for 4,150.5 passing yards. Julian Edelman finished right at his prop with six receiving TDs. Stephon Gillmore cashed in on his rising odds to be named Defensive Player of the Year.