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Archived: Miami FL vs Florida FREE PICK

Aug 24, 2019 EST

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No. 8 Florida vs. Miami

Odds: Florida -7 | Total 47

I don’t like betting lines where I have missed the best number. I think that Florida wins this game, but the opening number was -3.5. With it now being at 7, I am going to pass on a side here, but I do think this game presents a betting opportunity.

Florida is all about power. They want to run the ball down your throat and smack you in the face on defense. The Gators averaged 5.3 yards per rush last season, top 20 in the country. They also rushed for over 215 yards per game, and in the brutal heat of Orlando in August, shortening this game is going to be a welcome event.

The Gator defense last year ranked in the top 25 for scoring and gave up just 5.1 yards per play on average.

Miami made the surprise decision to start redshirt freshman QB Jarren Williams in this game, not five-star Ohio State transfer Tate Martell. Williams has a big arm, but does he know where it is going? The Florida secondary will be hunting the ball all game long. I expect the Gators to win the turnover battle.

Expect a war between these two teams, and that means a low scoring game. We don’t think either team gets into the 30s.

Pick: Under 47.5

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